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Friday, October 24th, 2008 at 6:01am

Election Predictions – Part III – Utah State Senate

Posted by Curtis Haring

This is the third in a five part series: Monday focused on Salt Lake County Elections, Wednesday concerned itself with the Utah State House of Representatives, Sunday will focus on statewide races, and next Tuesday will focus on federal campaigns.

As with Wednesday, this will be an incomplete list of races as I am unable to follow the 15 races around the state.

It should also be noted that this and the next post will, most likely, be the post that angers most of my fellow Democrats.

District 1

Prediction – To Close to Call
Endorsement – Luz Robles

Back in April Robles and now lame duck Senator Fred Fife, I (as a delegate) was stuck with a difficult choice: vote for Fife despite the fact that he was unpopular but could win in a general election or cast my support for Robles who, despite her qualifications, would have an uphill battle. Now, seven months later, I find that Robles has had to deal with a tough (and I would charge, somewhat dirty) campaign against her opponent. I hope Robles pulls this one out as I feel she would be fantastic for the district.

Luz Robles (D) – http://www.roblesforsenate.com/
Carlton Christensen (R) – http://www.votecarlton.org/

District 8

Prediction – To Close to Call
Endorsement – Karen Morgan

This race features two seasoned veterans of campaigns. This is Carlene Walker’s third race and Morgan’s fifth. Each of these titans knows what it takes to win and will do all they can to have this seat. This race is too close to call because, though both lean to the middle or middle right, Walker’s strength lies in the “R” next to her name. What gives Morgan the advantage is that she did not vote for vouchers while Walker did.

Karen Morgan (D) – http://www.karenmorgan.org/
Carlene Walker (R) – http://www.carlenewalker.com/
Liz Phalp (C) – (unknown web site)

District 10

Prediction – Chris Butters 57-42-1%
Endorsement – John Rendell

The ever controversial Chris Butters will slide into another four years with out much effort. Sadly Butters’ continued popularity can be attributed to a few factors: the voters in South Jordan, West Jordan, and Herriman either don’t know or don’t care that their senator has stated homophobic and racist remarks on the floor of the Utah State Senate. Rendell, too, does not strike me as someone with a strong enough personality to stand up to Butters’ bombastic nature.

John Rendell (D) – http://www.electrendell.com/
Chris Butters (R) – (unknown web site)
Steve Maxfield (C) – (unknown web site)

District 14

Prediction – John Valentine 99.8-.2%
Endorsement – none

That’s right, no one dared to take on the President of the Senate this year. I predict a landslide victory where lobbyist vote against Valentine as a joke. I bet is the Democrats willing to even bother voting in this election will throw their support behind Mickey Mouse.

John Valentine – http://johnvalentine.org/

District 27

Prediction – Brad King 52-47-1%
Endorsement – Brad King

This being Brad Kings fifth election, it goes without saying that King knows what he is doing, however this is the first time he has faced a real challenge. His opponent, however, has the advantage of having the ever present “R” next to his name. The Price area has grown more Republican over the past years. The Demo’s have only been able to stave off this wave because of former Senator Demitrich’s high popularity. That being said, I think King has what it takes to win.

Brad King (D) – (unknown web site)
David Hinkins (R) – www.electroniccastle.com/David
Michael Martin (C) – (unknown web site)


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One Response to “Election Predictions – Part III – Utah State Senate”

  1. Kyle says:

    It’s pretty sad that they didn’t get anyone to run against Valentine. You can’t ever gain ground without trying, even if you know you won’t win the race they could have at least put someone down to gather support and let the people know that we aren’t ignoring them.

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